PEPCO may not finance MAPP transmission line
June 27th, 2009
And that’s a good thing, because their SEC filings show that demand is down from 2007-2007, as it is everywhere. It’s looking like utilities are unable to sustain their drive for long distance market dispatch, and if this trend is the reality, and their stock continues to be in the toilet, they can’t build their transmission dream — this is good news! Chalk up one for the economic depression!
All of us participating in the Delmarva Power IRP have to make sure the PSC knows about the tanked market, after all, they’re addressing how Delmarva Power will fulfill its demand, and for sure we don’t need new generation (need different generation, to be sure) or any transmission. As to needing different generation, it’s particularly important at this time to attach a requirement to SHUT DOWN FOSSIL FUEL to any RES. Without that, they’ll just sell it elsewhere, and we won’t gain anything.
Here’s one example of how the economy can have an impact on electric infrastructure and market. Hot off the press — PEPCO may not be selling stock to finance projects, and the biggest project they’re looking at is the much-detested Mid-Atlantic Power Pathway, electric transmission known as the MAPP line.
And remember, not that long ago, PJM cancelled the part from Indian River to Salem, NJ, at the Salem & Hope Creek nuclear plants. Here’s what it looks like now, supposedly:
HA! THEIR MAPS DON’T EVEN REFLECT THAT CHANGE!!
The Press Release says:
According to Gausman, PJM has also reviewed the need for the section of the line that would run from Delmarva Power’s Indian River substation near Millsboro, Del., to Salem, N.J., and has decided to move this portion of the line into its “continuing study” category. This means that the reconfigured MAPP line will now extend approximately 150 miles from northern Virginia, across southern Maryland and the Chesapeake Bay, and terminate at Indian River. The change would likely reduce the total project cost from $1.4 billion to $1.2 billion.
(Emphasis added). Hee hee hee hee hee — “… terminate at Indian River.” No Indian River to Salem, NJ section. Cutting a section out is just one more step to tanking the project. What’s the point of a radial line to Indian River? Some would say that “hey, there’s transmission there, it’s not a radial line,” but there’s NOT transmission there to facilitate the bulk power transfers coming in on a 500kV line. The system there is comparatively VERY low voltage. Others would note that the Indian River plant has two units shutting down, but folks, they’re the smallest units, totalling about 150MW or so, that will not make a big electrical difference, though it has a significant impact on our ability to breathe the air in southern Delaware! Taking the small Indian River units most probably means that Bluewater Wind should have no problem interconnecting — lets see the interconnection studies with Indian River units off line!
Anyway, here’s the poop — and look at the PEPCO price: $13.39, about half of what it was a year ago ($26.25) (for month, YTD, year and 5 year, go HERE) If you look at the 5 year trend, it’s the same reflected in Xcel’s demand — everything goes south in 2007. THIS IS NOT A “BLIP” FROM LAST FALL’S CRASH, this is a 2 year, nearly 3 year trend. (For Xcel month, YTD, year and 5 year, go HERE).
From PEPCO’s 2008 SEC 10-K, here’s their 2007-2008 energy delivery numbers (DOWN), regulated and default:
|
Regulated T&D Electric Sales (Gigawatt hours (GWh))
|
||||||||||
|
2008
|
2007
|
Change
|
||||||||
|
Residential
|
17,186
|
17,946
|
(760)
|
|||||||
|
Commercial
|
28,739
|
29,137
|
(398)
|
|||||||
|
Industrial
|
3,781
|
3,974
|
(193)
|
|||||||
|
Other
|
261
|
261
|
–
|
|||||||
|
Total Regulated T&D Electric Sales
|
49,967
|
51,318
|
(1,351)
|
|||||||
|
Default Electricity Supply Sales (GWh)
|
||||||||||
|
2008
|
2007
|
Change
|
||||||||
|
Residential
|
16,621
|
17,469
|
(848)
|
|||||||
|
Commercial
|
9,564
|
9,910
|
(346)
|
|||||||
|
Industrial
|
640
|
914
|
(274)
|
|||||||
|
Other
|
101
|
131
|
(30)
|
|||||||
|
Total Default Electricity Supply Sales
|
26,926
|
28,424
|
(1,498)
|
|||||||
Here’s PEPCO 2007-7008 SEC 10-K info, 2006-6007, regulated and default – these numbers should be the same for the same years, and they’re not, what does that mean:
|
Regulated T&D Electric Sales (GWh)
|
||||||||||
|
2007
|
2006
|
Change
|
||||||||
|
Residential
|
17,946
|
17,139
|
807
|
|||||||
|
Commercial
|
29,398
|
28,638
|
760
|
|||||||
|
Industrial
|
3,974
|
4,119
|
(145)
|
|||||||
|
Total Regulated T&D Electric Sales
|
51,318
|
49,896
|
1,422
|
|||||||
|
Default Electricity Supply Sales (GWh)
|
||||||||||
|
2007
|
2006
|
Change
|
||||||||
|
Residential
|
17,469
|
16,698
|
771
|
|||||||
|
Commercial
|
9,910
|
14,799
|
(4,889)
|
|||||||
|
Industrial
|
914
|
1,379
|
(465)
|
|||||||
|
Other
|
131
|
129
|
2
|
|||||||
|
Total Default Electricity Supply Sales
|
28,424
|
33,005
|
(4,581)
|
|||||||
Here’s the PEPCO 2006 SEC 10-K info, their 2005-2006 energy delivery numbers (DOWN), first regulated sales:
| Regulated T&D Electric Sales (gigawatt hours (Gwh)) | |||||||||||
|
2006 |
2005 |
Change |
|||||||||
| Residential |
17,139 |
18,045 |
(906) |
||||||||
| Commercial |
28,638 |
29,441 |
(803) |
||||||||
| Industrial |
4,119 |
4,288 |
(169) |
||||||||
| Total Regulated T&D Electric Sales |
49,896 |
51,774 |
(1,878) |
||||||||
| Default Electricity Supply Sales (Gwh) | |||||||||||
|
2006 |
2005 |
Change |
|||||||||
| Residential |
16,698 |
17,490 |
(792) |
||||||||
| Commercial |
14,799 |
15,020 |
(221) |
||||||||
| Industrial |
1,379 |
2,058 |
(679) |
||||||||
| Other |
129 |
157 |
(28) |
||||||||
| Total Default Electricity Supply Sales |
33,005 |
34,725 |
(1,720) |
||||||||
CLICK HERE – PEPCO’s SEC 10-K filings for lots of years to do your own looking!
From Bloomberg:
Pepco CFO May Postpone Investment to Avoid Share Sale
Pepco fell 3 cents to $13.39 in composite trading on the New York Stock Exchange.
To be sure, it will be ugly.
June 21st, 2009
It’s time to tank the TANC project. I love the irony of beautiful shots of transmission lines, particularly where the media is finally getting it right:
“To be sure, it will be ugly.”
Yeah! That’s a direct quote, see the article below…
This 600 mile long and $1.3 billion (somebody better put a new battery in that calculator, that estimate is WAY off) project has wrapped up every ugly aspect of transmission all in one (like almost every other project I’ve seen these days!). Let’s see, yes, it will visually be butt ugly. Landowners didn’t get reasonable notice. It will have massive impact on environment, economics, and public health. Oh, and need we mention, like the others, it’s not needed. Look where it starts and guess how far it is from the nearest coal plants, online or on the drawing board.
Now notice all the back and forths, this isn’t just one line, each segment has at least two, if not three lines (their type gets in the way of ID’ing what’s planned. CLICK HERE FOR THEIR MAP PAGE.
Heard enough? Ready to do something about it?
PRE-MEETING RALLY
HOLIDAY INN — REDDING, CA
Wednesday, July 8, 2009 at 2:00 PM
then
PUBLIC MEETING WITH TANC:
CASCADE THEATRE – MARKET STREET
REDDING, CA
Wednesday, July 8, 2009 at 6:00 PM
ALL LANDOWNERS ATTEND
Need more information:
Here’s the TANC site
Here’s WAPA’s TANC site
Here’s the STOP TANC site
*******************************************
From the Modesto Bee:
Big power line controversy
What’s happening?
June 19th, 2009
Public meetings all over southern Minnesota, that’s what!
Hop over to www.nocapx2020.info
It’s been a busy week…
New FERC Commissioner with xmsn ties
June 14th, 2009
A little birdie told me that John Norris, who was a biggie in “Organization of MISO States” home of UMTDI, was appointed by Obama to FERC.
Here’s the White House press release:
John R. Norris, Nominee for Commissioner, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
Obama names Vilsack aide to serve on energy panel
Norris previously served as chairman of the Iowa Utilities Board from 2005 to 2009.
Gee, I wonder where he’ll stand on transmission… sigh…
Hiawatha Transmission Project Update
June 2nd, 2009
Xcel’s Hiawatha Transmission Project, through the heart of the Phillips neighborhood in Minneapolis, was on the PUC’s agenda last Thursday. I had some deadline or other and couldn’t go, but here’s what happened:
Of course MOES thought everything was just ducky…
Midtown Greenway filed a Comment:
There was no Petition for a Contested Case filed, but a Contested Case was ordered because Xcel has taken the mandatory Contested Case route. There were no Petitions to Intervene… There was only ONE comment filed…
Here’s the PUC’s Order:
Here’s the Dept. of Commerce’s view of Scoping for the full-blown Environmental Impact Statement:
So there we are… Bill Storm of MOES is assuming that it’s an EIS we’re doing, that’s a good thing. Check the DRAFT scope, though, and note how narrow it is.
There’s a public meeting for scoping (hmmmm… I wonder if I got notice… $50 says no — Bill says yes, and where’s the $50, but, “It would be WRONG,” she says, speaking into the lampshade…):
DOE-MOES – Notice of EIS Scoping Meeting
Thursday, June 18, 2009 – 6:oo p.m.
Midtown Global Market
920 East Lake St.
Mpls, MN
Comments accepted until July 10, 2009
Send to:
Bill Storm, Project Manager
MN Dept of Commerce
85 – 7th Place East, Suite 500
St. Paul, MN 55101
or
bill.storm@state.mn.us
OK, folks, get to work!
- Now’s the time to read the application (Xcel’s Hiawatha Project Page HERE) and draft a Comment about what should be included in the EIS.
- Now’s the time to put in your requests to be on the Citizens Advisory Task Force
- Now’s the time to Petition to Intervene! (well, it’s not to late… YET…)





