Step by step, MISO is slogging through the Variance Analysis for the Northland Reliability Project as set out in MISO Tariff FF (P. 182-193). This just came through the wire, it’s BIG, but interesting tidbits:

Much of this process is confidential, don’t know if it matters at this point. The parts I care about are the cost questions, and the responses may well be confidential. We’ll see.

Generally, there’s this:

And the specifics are what needs to be produced, p. 6-16 of the first document, above:

I don’t/can’t do math, have grey mush in that part of my brain, but if I think on this a bit, and scan through the 347 pages, the trajectory will become clear!

For your reading enjoyment, here’s the part of MISO’s Tariff FF that covers the Variance Analysis process:

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